Showing posts with label Jason Kenney. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jason Kenney. Show all posts

Thursday, March 3, 2022

War, Energy Demand, and Climate Crisis

The war launched by Russia against Ukraine has brought economic sanctions against gas and oil previously imported to Europe.
Oil and gas

 

The increase in the price of these fossil fuels has stoked the embers of sunset industries of eastern Canada’s oil and gas production and heated up the pressure to build pipelines to export western resources to Europe. CBC News reports that Newfoundland and Labrador Premier Andrew Furey says his government is promoting the province's oil to NATO countries, as the war in Ukraine rages. He said his government is pushing Newfoundland and Labrador oil as an alternative to Russian fossil fuels.

"We have right here what the world needs as well, and that is to relieve some of our NATO partners of the tyranny of Russia and their stranglehold on the energy around the world," he said, when asked about the provincial government's efforts regarding the war. Furey said they're not trying to capitalize on what he noted is a humanitarian crisis, but did say his government is "making sure that our voice is heard internally and externally" with regard to the province's offshore oil industry.1
 

Michael Gorman of CBC News reports that the Goldboro Nova Scotia LNG project could be revived as a floating barge while demand grows for non-Russian gas.
Goldboro Nova Scotia


 

Pieridae Energy abandoned the land-based project last summer amid cost concerns.

There would not be a need for a 5,000-person work camp, for example, during construction, although Millar said the full-time workforce would be similar — about 150 people. He said the company would build a "small hotel" by the site to provide lodging. The construction that would be required includes a jetty and a spur of a pipe to connect the vessel to the Maritimes and Northeast Pipeline. While some barges have their own power supply, Millar said Pieridae has talked with officials at Nova Scotia Power about requirements if the barge it leases does not have its own power source.2
 

A report in the Economist asserts that climate change must be adapted to as well as opposed even as efforts to reduce its impact on lives and ecosystems are falling ever shorter.


Previous reports on impacts, vulnerabilities and adaptation relied on prediction. In this one the authors need only to look around them to catalogue increased flooding, more heatwaves, stressed ecosystems and millions of lives that have become harder to live. The “emissions gap” that dogs climate policy is well known. Though the reductions in emissions that the world’s countries have pledged themselves to make are steeper than they used to be, they still fall well short of those needed to give the world a good chance of keeping the rise in average temperature relative to pre-industrial levels well below 2°C. The new report highlights a parallel adaptation gap. Though efforts to reduce the impact of climate change on lives and ecosystems are greater than they once were, the extent to which they fall short of what circumstances require is increasing, as impacts pile up apace.3

Natasha Bulowski, News, Energy, Politics, Ottawa Insider with the National Observer writes that Steven Guilbeault, Minister of Environment and Climate Change Canada, is rebuking Alberta Premier Jason Kenney’s assertion Canada must “get some pipelines built” to help “defang” the Russian President.

“The solution to global energy problems is not to increase our dependency on fossil fuels,” said Guilbeault. The best way to improve the energy security of European countries is to simply reduce dependence on oil and gas “regardless of where it's coming from,” he said. Even if Canada could build more pipelines to increase oil and gas capacity, this would take “a number of years” and wouldn’t address the crisis people in Ukraine and Europe are now facing, he added. The real solution, he says, is to “quickly deploy renewables and cleantech” to reduce dependence on Russian oil and gas.4
 

Kathryn Harrison, a professor of political science at the University of British Columbia, reviews the idea that Europe will want to replace Russian oil and gas with fossil fuels from elsewhere.

If Europe does face a gas shortage, immediate solutions are needed and costly investments for new liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals and similar projects will take years to get approved and built, she added. “Making investments in new fossil fuel facilities that won't be built in the time they need and then will be white elephants as the continent shifts away from fossil fuels is not an obvious solution for Europe,” said Harrison, referring to the European Union’s pledge to reduce emissions 55 per cent below 1990 levels by 2030.4
 

A press release from the Climate Action Network asserts that Canada’s oil and gas industry's current attempt to lobby for fossil fuel expansion should be recognized as the desperate ploy of an outdated industry that has never failed to capitalize on a crisis.

In the spring of 2020, Canada’s oil and gas industry used the pandemic as an excuse to press the federal government to water down or suspend environmental regulations and to delay the introduction of UNDRIP legislation. Its current attempt to lobby for fossil fuel expansion should be recognized as more of the same: the desperate ploy of an outdated industry that has never failed to capitalize on a crisis. This week’s IPCC report, cataloguing an “atlas of suffering,” underscored the dire consequences of the world’s addiction to fossil fuels and the urgent need to break the habit. As Svitlana Krakovska, the climate scientist heading Ukraine’s delegation to the IPCC, said when her team was forced to withdraw from the negotiations to move to bomb shelters: “Human-induced climate change and the war on Ukraine have the same roots: fossil fuels, and our dependence on them.”5
 

Cloe Logan, writing in the National Observer, reports that environmentalists, citizens and academics are urging the federal government to reject Newfoundland offshore oil project known as Bay du Nord.

“The Bay du Nord project poses significant environmental risks and it would undermine the urgent global effort to reduce emissions and protect climate stability. Instead of expanding oil production, our priority challenge right now is managing a wind-down of oil production that allows workers and communities to seize the benefits of the low-carbon energy transition,” said Carter. “Approving Bay du Nord would take Newfoundland and Labrador in the wrong direction — both in terms of the climate crisis and long-term economic security.”6
 

The time frame for building new LNG facilities and pipelines is long and the “just transition” for workers in Canada’s GHG producing industries needs immediate retraining for green energy careers. To delay GHG reduction action may eliminate the existing workforce from transition and exacerbate the consequences in more intense storms, fires, and floods in Canada.

 

References

1

(2022, March 3). Furey promotes NL oil as Russian invasion drives up fuel prices - CBC. Retrieved March 3, 2022, from https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/nl-oil-russian-invasion-1.6370127 

2

(2022, March 3). Goldboro LNG project could be revived as floating barge while .... Retrieved March 3, 2022, from https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/goldboro-lng-energy-project-gas-pieridae-1.6370827 

3

(2022, March 5). Climate change must be adapted to as well as opposed. Retrieved March 3, 2022, from https://www.economist.com/leaders/2022/03/05/climate-change-must-be-adapted-to-as-well-as-opposed 

4

(2022, March 2). Environment minister rebukes claims Canadian oil and gas can fix .... Retrieved March 3, 2022, from https://www.nationalobserver.com/2022/03/02/news/environment-minister-rebukes-claims-canadian-oil-and-gas-can-fix-europes 

5

(n.d.). Climate Action Network. Retrieved March 4, 2022, from https://climateactionnetwork.ca/ 

6

(n.d.). Environmentalists, citizens and academics urge feds to reject .... Retrieved March 5, 2022, from https://www.nationalobserver.com/2022/03/03/news/environmentalists-citizens-and-academics-urge-feds-reject-newfoundland-offshore-oil 

 


Monday, October 7, 2019

Western Canadian jobs more secure than eastern jobs in climate emergency



The tension between those who support aggressive GHG emission reductions and those who favour gradual phase out while Canada continues to emit GHG in the oil and gas industry may point to an underlying concern for jobs.
Keeping jobs in the fishery

CBC interviewed Boris Worm, a professor of marine biology at Halifax's Dalhousie University, contributed science that was assessed in the new report of the IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate that emphasized the ocean is warmer, more acidic and less productive.
When Stuart Beaton started fishing for lobster in 1971, the ocean waters off the northern coast of Nova Scotia and the marine creatures that lived beneath the waves behaved differently than today.
There is now less ice coverage in the spring, new species have arrived and lobsters are flocking to more northern waters amid rising ocean temperatures. His family, with three generations of lobster fishermen, have watched the changes in real time over half a century.
"In our business, we're very exposed to what happens. If two degrees kills the oceans..." said his son, Gordon Beaton, during an interview on a wharf in Ballantynes Cove, N.S., before his father added: "We're going to be the first to know."1
The Guardian offers a report on the climate crisis explained in 10 charts. The level of CO2 has been rising since the industrial revolution and is now at its highest for about 4 million years. The rate of the rise is even more striking – the fastest for 66m years – with scientists saying we are in “uncharted territory”.
Increasing GHG





Greenland has lost almost 4 trillion tonnes of ice since 2002. Mountain ranges from the Himalayas to the Andes to the Alps are also losing ice rapidly as glaciers shrink. A third of the Himalayan and Hindu Kush ice is already doomed.

Greenland ice disappearing






Sea levels are inexorably rising as ice on land melts and hotter oceans expand. Sea levels are slow to respond to global heating, so even if the temperature rise is restricted to 2C, one in five people in the world will eventually see their cities submerged, from New York to London to Shanghai. As heating melts the sea ice, the darker water revealed absorbs more of the sun’s heat, causing more heating – one example of the vicious circles in the climate system.


Mariners see sea level rise



Scientists think the changes in the Arctic may be responsible for worsened heatwaves and floods in Eurasia and North America.2

Arctic Sea Ice shrinking


The CBC reports on the attitude of some oil industry executives to the climate strikers. Gary Mar, CEO of the Petroleum Services Association of Canada and a former Alberta Progressive Conservative environment minister, said some of his three grown children have taken part in environmental protests before and he supports their right to do so.
He said if one of his children wanted to skip school to attend the strike Friday he would "be OK with that."
However, he said it's unrealistic for the climate change strikers to demand the immediate end of oil and gas production.
"We're not opposed to the environment," Mar said of the energy industry.3
The concern on the Atlantic and in the West about jobs may be connected to the problem of which workers are well trained to transition to energy jobs and which are going to have a more difficult training for the jobs of the future. The National Post reports that new research says job growth from clean energy will dramatically outpace that from fossil fuels over the next decade — as long as future Canadian governments maintain or increase attempts to fight climate change. "The clean-energy sector is a good-news story that no one's talking about," said Merran Smith of Clean Energy Canada, a think tank based at Simon Fraser University in British Columbia. "There is nothing to fear about moving forward on climate action."
Smith said the data shows clean energy employment could reach nearly 560,000 by the end of the next decade. That's 160,000 new jobs, more than enough to make up for the 50,000 jobs which fossil fuels are expected to shed.
The study also forecasts money flowing into clean energy will grow 2.9 per cent a year. Fossil fuel investment is expected to shrink.4
Perhaps the strategy has changed since April when the United Conservative Party notes Jason Kenney said that many other changes proposed by the UCP would also help kickstart the industry, especially the Job Creation Tax Cut, carbon tax elimination, the Red Tape Reduction Action Plan, and the Open for Business Act.
“However,” he concluded, “to get Alberta back to work, and to create jobs in our energy sector, it is necessary for Alberta to move from a defensive, passive, and apologetic approach to a strong, assertive, and strategic defence of our economy, our workers, and our way of life. And with a United Conservative Party government in office, that is what we will do – get pipelines built, fight back against foreign-funded special interests and stand up for a fair deal in Canada.”5 
Choices and important questions

The campaign to Vote Energy highlights the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP) promotion of an Energy Platform for Canada to define a strategic, long-term vision for oil and natural gas growth. That policy includes:
• Support completion of currently proposed major pipeline projects and actively support development of additional projects.• Supply Canada’s domestic oil and natural gas needs with domestic production, in particular by facilitating transportationof oil and natural gas from Western Canada to markets in Central and Atlantic Canada.• Increase the participation of Indigenous communities and businesses in Canada’s oil and natural gas sector.• Double current investment in the sector within four years, to return to or surpass 2014 investment levels.• Grow Canada’s contribution to global oil and natural gas supply.+ Canada becomes the world’s fourth-largest oil producer, surpassing Iraq and China.+ Canada becomes the world’s third-largest natural gas producer, surpassing Iran and Qatar6
The continuation of the emission of GHG, in Canada, and worldwide, will cause the oceans to become warmer and more acidic.
Sea level rise in Nova Scotia

Decline of the fishery in Canada will impact the livelihood of many people who are less prepared to retrain for energy jobs than those men and women who already have energy work experience in the western petroleum industry.

References


1
(2019, September 25). Fishermen feel effects of climate change as world ... - CBC.ca. Retrieved October 6, 2019, from https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/un-climate-change-report-nova-scotia-lobster-fishery-1.5296635  
(2019, September 19). The climate crisis explained in 10 charts | Environment | The .... Retrieved October 3, 2019, from https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/sep/20/the-climate-crisis-explained-in-10-charts 
(2019, September 27). Climate strikers naive but have right to protest, say ... - CBC.ca. Retrieved October 6, 2019, from https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/climate-strike-protest-energy-petroleum-oil-global-1.5301009 
(2019, October 3). 'Job intensive:' Study says clean energy fast track to .... Retrieved October 6, 2019, from https://nationalpost.com/pmn/news-pmn/canada-news-pmn/job-intensive-study-says-clean-energy-fast-track-to-employment-growth 
(2019, April 2). UCP Launches Plan to Bring Oil and Gas Jobs Back to Alberta .... Retrieved October 6, 2019, from https://www.albertastrongandfree.ca/ucp-launches-plan-to-bring-oil-and-gas-jobs-back-to-alberta/ 
(n.d.). Vote Energy. Retrieved October 7, 2019, from https://www.voteenergy.ca/ 

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Some unexpected climate news

The discussion of the climate emergency in Canada becomes more likely to produce effective action when all the details of the situation are openly available.
Source: http://cleanenergycanada.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Report_TER2019_CleanJobs.pdf

Merran Smith, in an opinion piece in the Globe and Mail, describes research done by Clean Energy Canada in partnership with Navius Research that shows the almost 300,000 Canadians
 Partnering with Navius Research, Clean Energy Canada did a deep dive into our country’s clean-energy sector, compiling government and industry databases, sourcing financial statements and surveying businesses. Through that report, we found that Canada’s clean-energy sector employed 298,000 Canadians as of 2017. That sector includes companies and jobs that help cut carbon pollution, whether by creating clean energy, helping move it, reducing energy consumption, or making low-carbon technologies. And it has been growing in value by 4.8 per cent a year since 2010, significantly faster than the rest of the Canadian economy (3.6 per cent).1
in the clean energy sector have enterprises growing in value at 4.8 per cent a year. When growth in a sector is better than the Canadian average an incentive for investment is created.
Clean Energy Opportunities

Graham Thomson, writing in ipolitics, concludes Jason Kenney is not a climate change denier
But if Kenney was to accept the science, he’d have to then explain what he’ll do about it. And that tends to take politicians down the road of carbon taxes and climate leadership plans — and Kenney just won a provincial election campaigning against both.
That’s why Kenney felt he could stay in Ontario and campaign with his federal Conservative friends. If he rushed home and headed up to High Level he’d be making the wildfire into something of a crisis rather than just another forest fire. And as Kenney argues, “there have always been forest fires.”
Even though he’s correct that nobody can definitively say any particular forest fire was a direct result of climate change. But there was a time when we had premiers, not just of the NDP ilk, who accepted the argument that climate change was making things worse.2 
but a climate change dodger.
Source: https://ipolitics.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/CKM7684-1200x675.jpg

The dissonance we encounter when facts contradict what we have assumed
Coastal Erosion

is helpful in creating a plan to respond effectively to this serious change in fires, floods, heatwaves, hurricanes and coastal erosion that our children and grandchildren will need to combat.

References

1
(2019, May 23). Don't fear Canada's economic transition – our new economy is already .... Retrieved May 29, 2019, from https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-dont-fear-canadas-economic-transition-our-new-economy-is-already/
2
(2019, May 29). Kenney not a climate change denier but a climate change dodger .... Retrieved May 29, 2019, from https://ipolitics.ca/2019/05/29/kenney-not-a-climate-change-denier-but-a-climate-change-dodger/

Friday, May 10, 2019

Finding Facts in GHG Opinion

The articles curated here provide some reviews of opinion and facts concerning the links between the oil and gas industry and our ability to meet Paris greenhouse gas reduction goals.
Coastal storm

Terry Glavin writes “There may be no right way to do fossil-fuel megaprojects at all anymore if we’re going to have a hope in hell of meeting our 2015 Paris Climate Accord commitments… the politics, promises and planning seem to have gotten just about everything wrong.”
 If you think that’s a jurisdictional nightmare, bear in mind that the National Energy Board still doesn’t even know whether it’s involved in any of this, or whether provincial or federal jurisdiction holds higher sway. The NEB will be holding hearings in March to determine whether the British Columbia Oil and Gas Commission gave the whole project the go-ahead unlawfully. If that’s how things shake out, the whole project has to be re-submitted for approval under a formal, dismal, drawn-out NEB process.
The other thing both the federal and provincial governments are trying to avoid is any public scrutiny of Trudeau’s and Premier John Horgan’s eloquent (but oddly imprecise) commitments to First Nations that their consent should be required, as per the United Nations’ guidance, for industrial developments such as pipelines to proceed in areas subject to some degree of aboriginal title.
So go ahead and blame those obstreperous Wet’suwet’en people all you like but it’s avoiding these tougher questions that caused this whole thing to go so wrong in the first place. And that’s without even dealing with whether there is any right way, if Canada is going to come even close to meeting its Paris Accord commitments, to do these sorts of projects at all 1
J. David Hughes shares his opinion that more than ever Canada’s emission reduction targets are doomed. According to Canada’s most recent submission to the United Nations, emissions are down a mere two per cent from 2005 levels as of 2017. If Canada was on track to meet the Paris Agreement, emissions should be down 14 per cent.

According to Canada’s most recent submission to the United Nations, emissions are down a mere two per cent from 2005 levels as of 2017. If Canada was on track to meet the Paris Agreement, emissions should be down 14 per cent. Moreover, emissions in 2017 increased by 1.1 per cent from 2016 levels.
Oil and gas producing provinces were most of the problem given that oil and gas production made up 27 per cent of Canada’s 2017 emissions.
Alberta (Canada’s largest oil and gas producer) accounted for 38 per cent of Canada’s emissions in 2017 and has increased emissions by 18 per cent from 2005 levels. In 2017 alone, emissions increased 3.3 per cent in Alberta and 11.6 per cent in the oilsands.2 

David Hughes also asks how real is Kenney’s bluster?
Source:https://www.policynote.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/pn_may2019_RealityCheckHighBCGas.jpg

In 2018 refined petroleum product shipments to Burnaby were down 47 per cent from the 2006–2016 average of 52,400 barrels per day. This created a shortfall of 3.9 million litres per day of refined products (18 per cent of Metro Vancouver’s demand), which was largely responsible for the fuel price spike.

Over the 2006–2016 period, on average about half (48 per cent) of the oil flowing through the Trans Mountain pipeline went to refineries in Washington state, a little over a third (35 per cent) went to Burnaby and the rest (17 per cent) was exported by tanker via the Westridge Terminal. Of the shipments to Burnaby, 54 per cent were refined products and 46 per cent was light oil for the Parkland refinery.
In 2018, shipments to Burnaby were reduced to 27 per cent of the pipeline’s throughput, exports to Washington state increased to 52 per cent and exports of heavy oil via tanker were increased to 21 per cent.
Of the reduction in shipments to Burnaby, refined petroleum products were down 47 per cent from the 2006–2016 average of 52,400 barrels per day. This created a shortfall of 3.9 million litres per day of refined products (18 per cent of Metro Vancouver’s demand), which was largely responsible for the fuel price spike.3 

We will be voting for a federal government soon. Fact checking and open discussion are required to help make this crucial voting decision.

References

1
(2019, January 9). Glavin: Pipeline protests – how politicians got it all wrong | Ottawa .... Retrieved January 11, 2019, from https://ottawacitizen.com/opinion/columnists/glavin-pipeline-protests-how-politicians-got-it-all-wrong
2
(2019, April 30). Opinion: More than ever Canada's emission reduction targets are .... Retrieved May 2, 2019, from https://calgaryherald.com/opinion/columnists/opinion-more-than-ever-canadas-emission-reduction-targets-are-doomed
3
(2019, May 7). Reality check: High BC gas prices and pipeline rhetoric from Alberta's .... Retrieved May 10, 2019, from https://www.policynote.ca/reality-check-high-bc-gas-prices-and-pipeline-rhetoric-from-albertas-new-premier/