Wednesday, September 30, 2020

New economic direction after Covid

 Some recent articles in mainline publications point to the opportunity to use the recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic to rethink how we respond to the climate emergency through possible realignment of the macro economic policy followed by the government.



 Starting over again - The covid-19 pandemic is forcing a .... Retrieved September 30, 2020, from https://www.economist.com/

Douglas Broom Senior Writer, Formative Content with the World Economic Forum reports that an overwhelming majority of people want real change after COVID-19.



The survey also asks if people agree or disagree with the statement, “I want my life to change significantly rather than returning to how it was before the COVID-19 crisis.” And at least two-fifths of adults in the Netherlands, Germany, South Korea, Japan, Sweden, the US, UK and Canada say they want their life to go back to how it was. But globally, it seems, people are ready to see a significant change. Across the 28 countries surveyed, 72% say they want their lives to change significantly after the crisis. This sentiment is strongest in Mexico, Colombia, South Africa and Peru.1


Robyn Urback, writing in the Globe and Mail, is of the opinion that it’s not too late to sell Canadians on a climate-focused pandemic recovery. 


So while this is a government that likes to situate its policy promises in the lofty space between big dreams and butterscotch candy, there is a down-to-earth, pragmatic and persuasive way for it to justify ramping up climate-change mitigation measures now: by reframing them around better planning. We need to try to mitigate seasons of hotter, longer and larger forest fires that threaten to destroy communities in British Columbia and Alberta. We need to redraw outdated flood maps (a project the federal government has indeed undertaken) or risk leaving Canadians literally underwater. We need to be cognizant of how changing temperatures and precipitation patterns can increase the incidence of waterborne pathogens and the spread of disease. We need to heed the warnings from experts before it is too late, or risk paying massively for it – both economically, and in lost lives. Canadians are living through – and can therefore easily understand the consequences of – poor planning. The federal government would likely opt for different wording, for obvious reasons, but there’s arguably no better time to emphasize the importance of disaster preparedness than in the midst of a disaster. That is, as long as it’s about issues more immediately consequential than the nostrils of beleaguered sea turtles.2


The Economist briefing explains how the Covid-19 pandemic is forcing a rethink in macroeconomics. In the form it is known today, macroeconomics began in 1936 with the publication of John Maynard Keynes’s “The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money”. Its subsequent history can be divided into three eras. The era of policy which was guided by Keynes’s ideas began in the 1940s. By the 1970s it had encountered problems that it could not solve and so, in the 1980s, the monetarist era, most commonly associated with the work of Milton Friedman, began. In the 1990s and 2000s economists combined insights from both approaches.


 Starting over again - The covid-19 pandemic is forcing a .... Retrieved September 30, 2020, from https://www.economist.com/


The rethink of economics is an opportunity. There now exists a growing consensus that tight labour markets could give workers more bargaining power without the need for a big expansion of redistribution. A level-headed reassessment of public debt could lead to the green public investment necessary to fight climate change. And governments could unleash a new era of finance, involving more innovation, cheaper financial intermediation and, perhaps, a monetary policy that is not constrained by the presence of physical cash. What is clear is that the old economic paradigm is looking tired. One way or another, change is coming. 3


Perhaps, in the wreckage left behind by the coronavirus pandemic, a new era is beginning.

 

References



1

(2020, September 18). People around the world want real change post-COVID-19 .... Retrieved September 27, 2020, from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/09/sustainable-equitable-change-post-coronavirus-survey/ 

2

(n.d.). It's not too late to sell Canadians on a climate-focused .... Retrieved September 28, 2020, from https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-its-not-too-late-to-sell-canadians-on-a-climate-focused-pandemic/ 

3

(2020, July 25). Starting over again - The covid-19 pandemic is forcing a .... Retrieved September 30, 2020, from https://www.economist.com/briefing/2020/07/25/the-covid-19-pandemic-is-forcing-a-rethink-in-macroeconomics 

Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Support for Climate Action Increases

As we struggle to respond to the challenge of Covid-19, recent articles in North American media point to an increasing concern that governments are not doing enough to prepare for climate change.


Government needs to act on climate change 

Linda Solomon Wood, an innovator, entrepreneur, award-winning journalist, CEO of Observer Media Group, and founder and editor-in-chief of the National Observer, offers the opinion that Canada's government can and must boldly lead the way in a $100 billion climate plan.


We can all write letters to our MPs, demand more action from the federal government now, for a start. We depend upon the government to do the right thing, to create a secure future and to protect public health. Protecting the lives of Canadians is crucial and, like Covid-19, climate change mitigation is urgent, too. As climate chaos intensifies and COVID-19 rates swing upwards, trustworthy journalism is more important than ever. As we watch the West Coast go up in flames, let's be sure the sight of smoke doesn't blind us. Let's be proactive and do whatever we can to protect the earth's climate, reduce global warming to bring about real and meaningful change.1


Seth Klein, adjunct professor with Simon Fraser University’s Urban Studies program and the former BC director of the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, explains why inequality must be linked to climate emergency action.


these issues are actually deeply intertwined. Lower income people and countries are more vulnerable to the impacts of the climate crisis. Those with higher incomes and wealth have greater GHG emissions. Conversely, many climate action policies impact lower-income people harder, and thus these impacts must be mitigated.... It is only by linking these issues that we win over and mobilize broad popular support. We cannot ask people to separate their fears about the climate crisis from the other affordability anxieties, economic pressures and systemic crises they face. At a very basic level, inequality undermines trust that “we are all in this together.”2

 

Top 1% Income Shares


Source: World Inequality Database: Paris School of Economics; for Canada after 2011: Statistics Canada: 11-10-0055-01. Notes: Pre-1950 UK data is limited to only some data points. World Inequality Data based on pre-tax market income. Statistics Canada Data also based on pre-tax market income (the sum of earnings, net investment income, and private retirement income before tax).

In polling I commissioned for my book, research from Abacus data in the summer of 2019, affordability was named as the top concern of Canadians, just ahead of climate change. That only stands to reason; it is a more immediate concern to most people. Hence the powerful need to link these issues. When we do so, the appeal is dramatic, far surpassing the levels of support for any one political party. As the Abacus poll revealed, when Canadians were given a short explanation of the Green New Deal—describing it as an ambitious vision for tackling the twin crises of climate change and inequality—it proved immensely popular, supported by 72% of Canadians surveyed. Another key finding from the Abacus poll: The more a bold and transformative climate plan is seen as linked to an ambitious plan to tackle inequality, economic insecurity, poverty and job creation, the more likely people are to support it.2


Justin Worland reports for Time that Republicans claim addressing climate change is too expensive but most Americans aren’t buying it according to a new poll.

Support Green energy

The report—shared exclusively with TIME—relies on a survey of 999 American adults between May and August and shows broad U.S. support for a range of climate policies. Significant majorities support tax incentives, carbon pricing and regulations as means to reduce emissions. More than 80% of Americans believe the U.S. should offer tax incentives for utilities that make power with renewable energy; more than 80% support key U.S. commitments under the Paris Agreement; and nearly two-thirds support a requirement for all cars to get at least 55 miles per gallon by 2025. “It’s not like 52-48, or that kind of thing,” says Krosnick. “There are clear leanings.”... most climate scientists and economists agree that leaving climate change unchecked will create a wide range of environmental and social harms that will significantly hinder the global economy.3


Support for an increase in government action on addressing the climate emergency is being reflected in polling data from Canada and the United States. This action must consider the impact of climate change action on those who may face economic decline as a consequence of our transition.

 

References

 


1

(2020, September 15). Trudeau Liberals shouldn't shelve $100 billion climate plan .... Retrieved September 21, 2020, from https://www.nationalobserver.com/2020/09/15/opinion/trudeau-liberals-shouldnt-shelve-100-billion-climate-plan 

2

(2020, September 21). Why inequality must be linked to climate emergency action. Retrieved September 21, 2020, from https://www.thinkupstream.ca/post/why-inequality-must-be-linked-to-climate-emergency-action 

3

(2020, September 23). Americans Say Tackling Climate Change Won't Hurt Economy .... Retrieved September 23, 2020, from https://time.com/5892097/climate-change-not-too-expensive-poll/ 


Thursday, September 3, 2020

Venus Project Forbes and Bill McKibben

 Forbes, has published an online article in which Daniel Araya (PhD), a technology consultant and advisor working at the intersection of entrepreneurship, innovation and public policy, reports on an interview with Roxanne Meadows and Nathanael Dinwiddie of The Venus Project to better understand their thoughts on the future. One area of concern involves how the Venus Project envisions utilizing AI in decision-making.


Meadows and Dinwiddie: Applying the methods of science and technology (including AI) to the operation of the world’s societies will lead to a substantially more reliable functioning of support systems than we have today. Homelessness, starvation, war, and environmental degradation are consequences of today’s political and economic approaches to decision-making. A Resource Based Economy operates within a unified systems approach that utilizes the methods of science and AI to arrive at the most appropriate decisions at any given time. Unlike today’s implementation of technology, this new approach would be carefully carried out with the utmost human and environmental concern. The real-time influx of quantitative and qualitative data would provide real-time feedback, enabling humanity to constantly observe and continually improve the operation of the system over time.1


Bill McKibben and Yuval Noah Harari have written about the need for caution and vigilance as technology moves to develop AGI (artificial general intelligence) with intelligence surpassing humans and decision speeds a million times faster than humans.


 





 

The human masters of these systems may have personal enrichment and worker control motives resulting in an increase in inequality in society.

 1(2020, September 1). Is The Venus Project The Next Stage In Human Evolution?. Retrieved September 3, 2020, from https://www.forbes.com/sites/danielaraya/2020/09/01/is-the-venus-project-the-next-stage-in-human-evolution/

Electricity from zero emission sources

 

Recent political activity in the Maritimes and Ottawa resonate with this year's "Season of Creation."
Change to renewable sources

 

The New Brunswick Green Party Leader, David Coon, said his party would mandate NB Power to use 100 per cent renewable energy sources by 2035.

 

Coon said management at NB Power has been dictating energy policy to PC and Liberal governments for years. As a result, he said, there hasn't been any progress on energy efficiency or renewals. "What the rest of the world has been embracing has been blocked here in New Brunswick," he said. Coon blamed NB Power for wasting $13 million on Joi Scientific, a Florida-based company that claimed to be able to efficiently generate hydrogen gas from seawater to generate electricity on demand, something that would be a major scientific breakthrough. Coon also committed to providing zero-interest loans for solar panels and energy efficiency measures such as new insulation and windows.1

In December 2019, Richard Dewey, President and CEO, New York Independent System Operator (NYISO), wrote that New York State, the 11th-largest economy in the world, recently enacted the US’ most aggressive climate change legislation. By 2040, according to the new law, the state must get all of its electricity from zero-emission sources. How does a state of 19.8 million citizens, which in 2018 generated more than 40% of its energy from fossil fuels, reach zero emissions in only two decades? A carbon-pricing proposal from the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) can play a significant role - as new research by the Analysis Group has concluded.

 The report by the Analysis Group, commissioned by NYISO and co-authored by energy policy and economics expert Susan Tierney, concluded that our carbon-pricing proposal can help New York State meet its clean energy goals faster and more cost-effectively while reducing emissions and maintaining grid reliability. The report also found that carbon pricing can: (1) Reduce the consumer cost of reaching 100% carbon-free emissions: (2) Help grow investment and innovation in clean energy generation: (3) Promote innovation and energy efficiency in fossil fuel-burning technology: (4) Improve public health by encouraging the retirement of the highest-emitting generators: (5) Affirm New York’s position as a national leader on climate change2

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says his government will unveil an “ambitious green agenda” in the throne speech scheduled to be delivered later this month. Western Canada has been especially hard-hit by the pandemic as travel restrictions have sent global oil prices tumbling. Trudeau said green recovery is about “long-term recovery,” and that the country needs to be “leading the way” on the shift to renewable energy and addressing the climate crisis.

 

He said the path forward must include people working in industries that will be affected by such a shift, but that Canada should seize the opportunity that COVID-19 has created. “We have an opportunity to go green. We have an opportunity to be fairer, to reduce barriers for women’s participation, (and) Indigenous participation in the workforce,” he said. “There are so many things that we can look at as an opportunity through this tragedy of COVID to do bigger things.” The green agenda will be presented to Parliament later this month, he added.3

Support for politicians who recognize our concern about climate change is action we can take to bring change.

 

References

1

(2020, September 3). Liberals promise to balance budget, while PCs boast about .... Retrieved September 3, 2020, from https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/elections-new-brunswick-voting-campaign-trail-1.5709271 

2

(2019, December 4). Carbon pricing can help New York State green its energy .... Retrieved September 3, 2020, from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2019/12/new-york-carbon-pricing-climate/ 

3

(2020, September 2). Liberals to unveil 'ambitious green agenda' in throne speech .... Retrieved September 3, 2020, from https://globalnews.ca/news/7312636/trudeau-green-agenda-throne-speech/ 

 

Wednesday, September 2, 2020

Attention to environmental racism

 This 'Season of Creation' demands attention to environmental racism, according to Daniel P. Horan, Duns Scotus Chair of Spirituality at Catholic Theological Union in Chicago, where he teaches systematic theology and spirituality. Dan Horan writes as civil rights and environmental advocates note, it cannot merely be coincidental that the communities in Flint, and others like it across the country, that are most deleteriously affected by pollution and the effects of global climate change are poor and Black.

 The announcement of the proposed settlement in Flint coincides with the launch of this year's "Season of Creation," an ecumenical commemoration that invites Christians to focus their reflection, prayers and actions on care for creation. The "Season of Creation," which runs from Sept. 1 through the feast of St. Francis of Assisi on Oct. 4, is an event supported by Pope Francis and co-sponsored by the Vatican's Dicastery for Promoting Integral Human Development. This year's observance, particularly in the midst of a global pandemic and in the wake of continuing protests on behalf of racial justice in the U.S., is an opportune time to study, reflect, pray and act in response to the intersecting "cry of the earth and the cry of the poor" that Francis highlights throughout "Laudato Si', on Care for Our Common Home." The poor in this case certainly includes the materially impoverished, who face environmental injustices, but it also includes those who have been historically disenfranchised from civil and social power on account of their race. Despite Francis' continual exhortations to the church about the need to think in terms of an "integral ecology" that encompasses intersecting forms of injustice, too many Catholic communities still treat justice issues such as racism and environmental degradation separately.1

Moira Donovan of CBC News reports that the The ENRICH Project looks at the cause and effects of toxic industries near marginalized communities.
https://i.cbc.ca/1.3494128.1458149510!/fileImage/httpImage/image.jpg_gen/derivatives/16x9_780/enrich-environmental-racism-map-of-nova-scotia.jpg

 

The ENRICH Project web site offers the Latest News on Environmental Noxiousness, Racial Inequities & Community Health Project. It is a collaborative community-based research and engagement project on environmental racism in Mi’kmaq and African Nova Scotian communities.

 

Geoff Dembicki reports that many First Nations and non-white communities have been the dumping sites for industry. But environmental advocates say Canadians are struggling to empathize.

 

Yet the siting of that particular dump appeared to be no accident. Research done by the Environmental Noxiousness, Racial Inequities & Community Health Project shows that dozens of toxic facilities across Nova Scotia have been built near Black and Indigenous communities. (You can check out an interactive map here). This type of work is much more common in the U.S., where for decades researchers and activists have documented the racist zoning decisions and other policies that have led to Black people and other non-white Americans breathing in toxic fumes and drinking contaminated water. Fixing this racism is now a big part of the U.S. election, with Joe Biden promising to spend hundreds of billions of dollars cleaning up the air and water of disadvantaged communities. Canada appears to be much further behind. “The Canadian Environmental Protection Act is Canada’s main pollution prevention law and it doesn’t mention environmental justice, human rights, or vulnerable populations,” West Coast Environmental Law lawyer Rayanna Seymour-Hourie, who is from the Anishinaabe First Nation, said during the panel talk. But that could soon be changing. When Parliament resumes this fall, one of the pieces of legislation it will consider is a private member’s bill introduced by Nova Scotia Liberal MP Lenore Zann known as the National Strategy to Redress Environmental Racism Act. Bill C-230, which has the support of former Green Party leader Elizabeth May, would create a national strategy for alleviating the pollution pumped into non-white areas.3

Action by people to support initiatives by the government to address environmental racism will contribute to supporting both the “cry of the poor and the cry of the earth” for peace and equity.

 

References

 


1

(2020, September 2). 'Season of Creation' demands attention to environmental racism. Retrieved September 2, 2020, from https://www.ncronline.org/news/earthbeat/faith-seeking-understanding/season-creation-demands-attention-environmental-racism 

2

(2016, March 16). Nova Scotia group maps environmental racism | CBC News. Retrieved September 2, 2020, from https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/ns-environmental-racism-map-1.3494081 

3

(2020, August 20). Canada Is Falling Behind on Confronting Environmental Racism. Retrieved September 2, 2020, from https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/5dz4dz/canada-is-falling-behind-on-confronting-environmental-racism 

Tuesday, September 1, 2020

World Day of Prayer for the Care of Creation

 

Today is the World Day of Prayer for the Care of Creation and it is an opportunity to review some recent articles to update citizens about bringing climate change to the forefront of our concerns.
Sea level rise

 

Phil Kingston writes that an ongoing plea of Pope Francis is that we listen to both "the cry of the Earth and the cry of the poor". These two cries are incorporated in Catholic Social Teaching as care of the Earth and the common good. He notes Pope Francis' critique of the Global Market Economy.

 I draw particularly upon 'Evangelii Gaudium' (EG) and 'Laudate Si' (LS). Francis describes the global economy in this way: ''The worship of the ancient golden calf (cf. Ex 32:1-35) has returned in a new and ruthless guise in the idolatry of money and the dictatorship of an impersonal economy lacking a truly human purpose''. (EG para 55). He is particularly concerned about the effects of the economy upon poor, exploited and marginalised people: ''We have to state, without mincing words, that there is an inseparable bond between our faith and the poor.'' (EG para 48).1

In Canada, Alan Andrews suggests that Canada's COVID-19 response may be a blueprint for climate action. He notes that we are all familiar with the Covid -19 infection curve and the part we each must play to flatten it. He hopes our leaders learn from this experience and apply the same principles of speed and science when it comes to countering the climate crisis. To date, Canadian politicians have simply not done enough to protect Canadians from climate change. 

Canada has missed every greenhouse gas reduction target it has set. We are warming twice as fast as the global rate. Last year, 11,000 scientists from around the world published a letter making a stark assessment – climate change is threatening the very fate of humanity. Meanwhile, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) made a stark warning: We have just a decade to keep global warming under two degrees or else we face a climate catastrophe.2

Reuters reports that investors are wary of energy shares, as the S&P 500 Energy sector .SPNY is down 40% this year even as the U.S. stock market touched new highs this month.

 

Oil companies such as BP Plc (BP.L), Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY.N) and Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N) made highly publicized purchases that have lost substantial value. BP, Royal Dutch Shell (RDSa.L) and others have cut the assumed value of those assets, conceding big wagers on shale will not pay off.3

An opinion article in the National Post urges us not to use religion as an excuse not to take the Covid-19 pandemic seriously. Unfortunately, religion has also been used to encourage people to not give climate change the attention it needs.

 Ordinary Americans have also invoked God, claiming masks interfere with His divinely designed human breathing apparatus. A study released in late June suggested that white American evangelicals’ attitudes toward the coronavirus pandemic are considerably more relaxed than those of other religious groups.4

Pope Francis is very pleased that the theme chosen by the ecumenical family for the celebration of the 2020 Season of Creation is Jubilee for the Earth, precisely in this year that marks the fiftieth anniversary of Earth Day. In the Holy Scriptures, a Jubilee is a sacred time to remember, return, rest, restore, and rejoice.

 

The Jubilee season calls us to think once again of our fellow human beings, especially the poor and the most vulnerable. We are asked to re-appropriate God’s original and loving plan of creation as a common heritage, a banquet which all of our brothers and sisters share in a spirit of conviviality, not in competitive scramble but in joyful fellowship, supporting and protecting one another. A Jubilee is a time for setting free the oppressed and all those shackled in the fetters of various forms of modern slavery, including trafficking in persons and child labour. We also need once more to listen to the land itself, which Scripture calls adamah, the soil from which man, Adam, was made. Today we hear the voice of creation admonishing us to return to our rightful place in the natural created order – to remember that we are part of this interconnected web of life, not its masters. The disintegration of biodiversity, spiralling climate disasters, and unjust impact of the current pandemic on the poor and vulnerable: all these are a wakeup call in the face of our rampant greed and consumption.5

We are invited, today, to consider urging government action on biodiversity, climate disasters, and the unjust impact of climate change and the current pandemic on the poor and vulnerable.

 

References

 


1

(2020, August 30). Bringing climate change to the forefront of public and .... Retrieved August 30, 2020, from https://www.indcatholicnews.com/news/40345 

2

(2020, April 21). Canada's COVID-19 response a blueprint for climate action. Retrieved August 31, 2020, from https://ecojustice.ca/canadas-covid-19-response-a-blueprint-for-climate-action/ 

3

(2020, August 31). Second U.S. shale boom's legacy: Overpriced deals ... - Reuters. Retrieved August 31, 2020, from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil-shale-investments/second-u-s-shale-booms-legacy-overpriced-deals-unwanted-assets-idUSKBN25R1GG 

4

(2020, August 31). Opinion: Don't use religion as an excuse not to ... - National Post. Retrieved August 31, 2020, from https://nationalpost.com/opinion/opinion-dont-use-religion-as-an-excuse-not-to-take-the-pandemic-seriously 

5

(2020, September 1). Pope Francis message for World Day of Prayer for the Care of .... Retrieved September 1, 2020, from https://www.romereports.com/en/2020/09/01/pope-francis-message-for-world-day-of-prayer-for-the-care-of-creation/